Comercial PI vs 4 de Julho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.7%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
36.9%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Comercial PI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
REC
1 - 0
CAC
40%
25%
35%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2011 |
4DE
1 - 0
CAC
44%
25%
32%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
CAC
1 - 0
TDC
55%
23%
22%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
CAC
2 - 1
SAM
31%
28%
41%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2011 |
4DE
1 - 0
CAC
39%
25%
36%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
4 de Julho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2011 |
4DE
1 - 0
CAC
44%
25%
32%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
4DE
5 - 2
PAR
36%
25%
39%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | +2 |
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
PAR
3 - 0
4DE
45%
25%
30%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2011 |
4DE
1 - 0
CAC
39%
25%
36%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2011 |
CAC
1 - 1
4DE
50%
24%
26%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |