Comercial PI vs 4 de Julho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.5%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
41.9%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-41%
-44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Comercial PI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
CAC
0 - 2
BAR
49%
25%
26%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2009 |
BAR
4 - 3
CAC
39%
25%
36%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
PAR
2 - 2
CAC
43%
26%
32%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
CAI
1 - 2
CAC
33%
25%
41%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
CAC
3 - 2
4DE
36%
25%
38%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
4 de Julho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
FLA
4 - 3
4DE
39%
24%
37%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2009 |
4DE
1 - 1
FLA
58%
23%
20%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
4DE
0 - 0
BAR
58%
22%
20%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2009 |
BAR
2 - 2
4DE
36%
24%
40%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
4DE
5 - 1
PDS
77%
15%
8%
|
48 | 16 | 32 | +1 |