Colwyn Bay vs Kidsgrove Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.9%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
31.2%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colwyn Bay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
COL
3 - 3
NEW
68%
18%
14%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2018 |
SKE
0 - 0
COL
24%
22%
54%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
COL
2 - 4
WID
82%
12%
7%
|
28 | 17 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
CLI
0 - 2
COL
31%
23%
47%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
COL
0 - 1
RUN
33%
22%
46%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Kidsgrove Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2018 |
KID
2 - 2
MAR
69%
17%
14%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
MOS
1 - 2
KID
38%
23%
39%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
KID
0 - 1
ATH
42%
22%
36%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2018 |
WID
0 - 1
KID
13%
16%
71%
|
26 | 16 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
ATH
1 - 2
KID
50%
21%
30%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |