Colwyn Bay vs Kendal Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.8%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
46.7%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colwyn Bay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2011 |
COL
2 - 1
HAL
21%
22%
57%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2011 |
ASH
3 - 0
COL
30%
24%
46%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | -2 |
| 11 Dec. 2010 |
MIC
4 - 0
COL
39%
24%
38%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | -2 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
COL
3 - 1
OSS
81%
13%
6%
|
42 | 22 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
MAT
3 - 0
COL
45%
24%
31%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Kendal Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2011 |
BUR
2 - 4
KEN
24%
23%
54%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
ALF
4 - 0
KEN
64%
19%
17%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
HUC
4 - 3
KEN
26%
22%
51%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
KEN
2 - 5
NOR
54%
23%
23%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | -2 |
| 02 Nov. 2010 |
MAT
1 - 2
KEN
40%
23%
38%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |