Colwyn Bay vs Holyhead Hotspur analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.7%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6%
4-0
9.1%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.7%
3-0
13.6%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
11.8%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11.8%
4.5%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
82
1º
7º
1º
16
9º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
82 | 85 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
77 | 77 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
65 | 65 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 46 |
6º
|
50% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
50% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 35 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 31 |
11º
|
49% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 28 |
12º
|
63.5% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 26 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
16 | 16 |
15º
|
68% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 16 |
16º
|
68% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colwyn Bay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
CON
4 - 0
COL
68%
19%
12%
|
50 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
LLA
2 - 3
COL
12%
19%
70%
|
50 | 33 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
COL
4 - 1
RTW
76%
16%
9%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
GUI
2 - 3
COL
26%
24%
50%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
BST
1 - 4
COL
4%
9%
87%
|
49 | 7 | 42 | 0 |
Matches
Holyhead Hotspur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
RTW
2 - 0
HOL
66%
18%
16%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2022 |
HOL
0 - 2
PRE
29%
21%
50%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -2 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
AAA
0 - 0
HOL
49%
22%
30%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
MOL
3 - 1
HOL
38%
24%
39%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
HOL
2 - 2
MOL
62%
20%
19%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |