Colwyn Bay vs Altrincham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.8%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
49.7%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colwyn Bay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2013 |
GLO
2 - 3
COL
39%
25%
36%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
BOS
2 - 1
COL
60%
21%
19%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2013 |
HED
2 - 1
COL
72%
18%
11%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
COL
3 - 1
SOL
27%
25%
48%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
COL
2 - 2
BRA
29%
24%
47%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Altrincham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2013 |
BRA
2 - 4
ALT
37%
24%
39%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
ALT
1 - 3
HED
45%
24%
31%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
BOS
3 - 2
ALT
33%
25%
42%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
ALT
1 - 0
BRA
44%
25%
31%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
ALT
4 - 1
GUI
55%
23%
23%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |