Columbus Crew vs Philadelphia Union analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.8%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
27.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Columbus Crew
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
DCU
0 - 3
COC
39%
26%
35%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
COC
0 - 1
NER
42%
27%
31%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
NER
3 - 2
COC
43%
26%
31%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
COC
0 - 1
KCW
37%
28%
35%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2013 |
DAL
2 - 4
COC
44%
26%
31%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Philadelphia Union
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
PHU
1 - 0
NER
41%
26%
33%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
POR
1 - 1
PHU
49%
26%
25%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
PHU
1 - 2
KCW
34%
29%
37%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
MON
2 - 1
PHU
44%
27%
30%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
DCU
1 - 1
PHU
44%
26%
30%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |