Columbus Crew vs Chicago Fire analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.9%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
36.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Columbus Crew
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2006 |
COC
3 - 0
NER
36%
28%
37%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2006 |
NER
1 - 0
COC
54%
24%
21%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2006 |
COC
1 - 0
RBN
39%
27%
34%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2006 |
COC
1 - 2
RSL
52%
26%
23%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2006 |
KCW
4 - 0
COC
53%
25%
22%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Chicago Fire
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2006 |
CFS
3 - 0
DCU
46%
25%
29%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2006 |
CFS
2 - 1
RBN
54%
24%
22%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2006 |
CFS
2 - 2
HOD
56%
22%
22%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2006 |
CFS
1 - 0
COR
57%
23%
20%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2006 |
CFS
2 - 1
NER
49%
25%
26%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |