Colorado vs Brasil de Pelotas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.7%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.8%
7.5%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colorado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 1979 |
ATM
2 - 1
CEC
75%
15%
9%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1979 |
CEC
2 - 1
AME
40%
25%
35%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 1979 |
CEC
2 - 0
GOI
73%
17%
10%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1979 |
SER
1 - 1
CEC
27%
30%
43%
|
80 | 56 | 24 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1979 |
CEC
3 - 2
ANA
78%
16%
7%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Brasil de Pelotas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 1979 |
FRA
2 - 1
BRA
48%
26%
26%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1979 |
BRA
0 - 1
COT
17%
23%
60%
|
64 | 87 | 23 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1979 |
CHA
1 - 1
BRA
61%
23%
17%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1979 |
SAO
1 - 1
BRA
48%
26%
26%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1979 |
BRA
1 - 1
DES
44%
27%
29%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |