Köln Sub 17 vs B. Dortmund Sub 17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.4%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
31.5%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-51%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln Sub 17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
COL
2 - 0
FOD
80%
13%
7%
|
30 | 16 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
SGW
1 - 2
COL
19%
23%
58%
|
30 | 16 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
COL
2 - 2
S04
48%
22%
29%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
ABI
1 - 2
COL
23%
24%
54%
|
29 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
COL
2 - 1
PMU
74%
16%
10%
|
29 | 19 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
B. Dortmund Sub 17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
FOD
3 - 3
BDO
13%
19%
68%
|
32 | 15 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
BDO
4 - 1
AAA
75%
16%
9%
|
31 | 18 | 13 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
RWE
3 - 1
BDO
21%
21%
58%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | -2 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
BDO
1 - 1
S04
53%
22%
25%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
SFT
0 - 4
BDO
12%
18%
70%
|
33 | 13 | 20 | +1 |