Colón vs Belgrano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.3%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
30.4%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
QUI
2 - 4
COL
44%
28%
28%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
COL
2 - 1
ARS
46%
27%
27%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
BEL
1 - 1
COL
48%
28%
24%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
COL
0 - 1
BEL
45%
27%
28%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2015 |
TIG
1 - 4
COL
50%
26%
23%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2016 |
BEL
3 - 2
RIV
30%
28%
41%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
IND
1 - 0
BEL
51%
25%
24%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
BEL
1 - 1
COL
48%
28%
24%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
COL
0 - 1
BEL
45%
27%
28%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2015 |
IND
4 - 1
BEL
50%
26%
25%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | -1 |