Colney Heath vs Harlow Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.6%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.3%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
43.6%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colney Heath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2021 |
COL
0 - 3
WAL
24%
21%
56%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
AFD
2 - 0
COL
78%
13%
9%
|
16 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2020 |
NSA
1 - 0
COL
72%
16%
12%
|
17 | 32 | 15 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
COL
1 - 3
COR
11%
15%
74%
|
17 | 36 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
LON
0 - 2
COL
22%
20%
59%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Harlow Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2021 |
BED
4 - 0
HAR
77%
15%
9%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
HAR
2 - 1
HER
59%
20%
21%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
HAR
1 - 2
GRE
33%
23%
44%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
HAR
6 - 1
TIL
16%
20%
64%
|
16 | 34 | 18 | +2 |
| 27 Jul. 2021 |
HAR
2 - 1
EAS
20%
21%
59%
|
15 | 26 | 11 | +1 |