Colloto vs U.Comercial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
13.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-95%
-36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colloto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2009 |
HIS
1 - 1
COL
31%
26%
43%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
COL
1 - 0
SAL
73%
16%
10%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
TAP
2 - 1
COL
64%
20%
16%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
COL
2 - 1
ATL
61%
21%
18%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
ATL
1 - 1
COL
40%
25%
36%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
U.Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2009 |
TIN
3 - 0
COM
67%
19%
14%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2009 |
COM
2 - 1
URR
41%
25%
34%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
COM
1 - 4
HIS
50%
23%
27%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2008 |
COM
2 - 1
SAL
59%
22%
19%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
UNI
2 - 1
COM
32%
25%
43%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | -1 |