UD Collerense vs Mercadal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.2%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
30.6%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+88%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Collerense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
SVE
1 - 4
CLL
16%
21%
63%
|
23 | 13 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2022 |
CLL
3 - 1
MUR
68%
19%
14%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
CFP
0 - 3
CLL
69%
20%
12%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
UDR
3 - 0
CLL
44%
25%
32%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
CLL
0 - 1
JOR
32%
25%
44%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Mercadal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2022 |
MUR
0 - 4
MER
19%
23%
58%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
MER
0 - 1
POR
36%
25%
39%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2022 |
CON
0 - 0
MER
48%
25%
28%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
MER
3 - 3
INT
53%
22%
25%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
MER
0 - 1
FLN
62%
20%
18%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | -1 |