UD Collerense vs Ferriolense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.3%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
32.2%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+62%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Collerense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
BNS
4 - 2
CLL
54%
23%
23%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
CLL
0 - 1
PBL
33%
25%
43%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
CLL
3 - 1
SER
57%
21%
22%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
FLN
2 - 2
CLL
32%
26%
42%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
CLL
1 - 2
IBI
67%
16%
16%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Ferriolense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
FER
2 - 2
FLN
48%
24%
28%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
IBI
0 - 1
FER
54%
21%
25%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
FER
0 - 1
ESP
58%
23%
19%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
CON
1 - 0
FER
49%
24%
27%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
FER
1 - 2
MLL
11%
23%
66%
|
27 | 51 | 24 | -1 |