Non League Div One Northern Midlands Round 26

Coleshill Town FC vs Coventry Sphinx analysis

Coleshill Town FC Coventry Sphinx
32 ELO 35
11.6% Tilt -4.7%
9224º General ELO ranking 10838º
415º Country ELO ranking 565º
ELO win probability
45.4%
Coleshill Town FC
21.6%
Draw
32.9%
Coventry Sphinx

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.4%
Win probability
Coleshill Town FC
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
32.9%
Win probability
Coventry Sphinx
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Coleshill Town FC
+55%
-16%
Coventry Sphinx

Points and table prediction

Coleshill Town FC
Their league position
Coventry Sphinx
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
15º
15º
32
11º
19º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Harborough Town
91
91
100%
Spalding United
89
89
100%
Anstey Nomads
88
88
100%
Hinckley LR
70
70
100%
Quorn
66
66
100%
Loughborough Dynamo FC
62
62
100%
Lye Town
61
61
100%
Corby Town
56
56
100%
Bedworth United
51
51
0%
Sutton Coldfield Town
10º
51
51
10º
0%
Walsall Wood
11º
50
50
11º
100%
Sporting Khalsa
12º
50
50
12º
100%
Boldmere St. Michaels
13º
48
48
13º
100%
Shepshed
14º
42
42
14º
100%
Coleshill Town FC
15º
35
35
15º
100%
Coventry Sphinx
16º
32
32
16º
0%
Cambridge City
17º
32
32
17º
0%
Rugby Town
18º
32
32
18º
0%
Rushden & Diamonds
19º
32
32
19º
0%
Gresley
20º
29
29
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Coleshill Town FC
Coventry Sphinx
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation
0% 100%

ELO progression

Coleshill Town FC
Coventry Sphinx
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Coleshill Town FC
Coleshill Town FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Jan. 2024
CAM
Cambridge City
4 - 3
Coleshill Town FC
COL
29%
23%
48%
35 26 9 0
13 Jan. 2024
LYE
Lye Town
3 - 1
Coleshill Town FC
COL
61%
22%
17%
36 44 8 -1
06 Jan. 2024
COL
Coleshill Town FC
2 - 2
Corby Town
COR
43%
21%
36%
36 38 2 0
01 Jan. 2024
SUT
Sutton Coldfield Town
2 - 2
Coleshill Town FC
COL
59%
21%
20%
36 41 5 0
26 Dec. 2023
COL
Coleshill Town FC
4 - 2
Bedworth United
BED
70%
17%
13%
36 29 7 0

Matches

Coventry Sphinx
Coventry Sphinx
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Jan. 2024
SPO
Sporting Khalsa
3 - 0
Coventry Sphinx
COV
54%
20%
25%
36 38 2 0
06 Jan. 2024
COV
Coventry Sphinx
0 - 1
Spalding United
SPA
20%
25%
56%
37 49 12 -1
01 Jan. 2024
BED
Bedworth United
1 - 0
Coventry Sphinx
COV
17%
20%
64%
38 28 10 -1
26 Dec. 2023
COV
Coventry Sphinx
2 - 0
Lye Town
LYE
22%
24%
55%
36 45 9 +2
23 Dec. 2023
QUO
Quorn
4 - 2
Coventry Sphinx
COV
64%
19%
17%
37 44 7 -1