Colegiales vs Def. Unidos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.1%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.2%
32.7%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colegiales
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2019 |
STM
0 - 0
COL
58%
24%
18%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
COL
0 - 1
ARQ
66%
21%
14%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
ARM
1 - 1
COL
21%
27%
53%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
COL
3 - 3
ACA
39%
30%
31%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2019 |
SUA
3 - 1
COL
45%
27%
28%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Def. Unidos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2019 |
CAD
2 - 0
ARQ
67%
20%
13%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2019 |
ACA
1 - 1
CAD
43%
29%
28%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
CAD
1 - 1
VSC
69%
20%
11%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
COM
2 - 0
CAD
28%
27%
45%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
CAD
0 - 2
SMG
58%
25%
17%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | -1 |