Colchester United vs Rochdale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.5%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
41.6%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
BAR
2 - 2
COL
67%
20%
13%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
COL
0 - 3
BUR
31%
27%
43%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2016 |
CRE
1 - 1
COL
31%
25%
45%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
COL
1 - 4
POS
30%
25%
45%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
BPO
0 - 1
COL
42%
25%
32%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Rochdale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
ROC
2 - 2
SWI
57%
23%
20%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
POR
4 - 1
ROC
40%
26%
34%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2016 |
ROC
1 - 1
GIL
47%
25%
28%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
ROC
3 - 0
BPO
64%
21%
15%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
POS
1 - 2
ROC
52%
24%
24%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |