Colchester United vs Rochdale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
22.4%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 1993 |
GUL
3 - 3
COL
54%
25%
21%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1993 |
COL
3 - 3
STF
49%
27%
25%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1993 |
COL
3 - 2
NOR
45%
28%
28%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 1993 |
COL
1 - 2
FUL
51%
23%
26%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 1993 |
CRE
2 - 1
COL
68%
20%
12%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Rochdale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 1993 |
ROC
2 - 0
CHE
69%
19%
12%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1993 |
ROC
1 - 2
WIG
50%
26%
24%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1993 |
CUM
0 - 1
ROC
65%
20%
14%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 1993 |
YOR
0 - 0
ROC
57%
22%
22%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1993 |
ROC
3 - 0
GIL
55%
24%
21%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +1 |