Colchester United vs Oldham Athletic AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.3%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
11%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
29.5%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2003 |
COL
1 - 0
ALD
57%
22%
22%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2003 |
COL
0 - 2
PLY
38%
26%
36%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2003 |
RUS
4 - 0
COL
45%
25%
31%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2003 |
COL
3 - 1
SHW
42%
26%
32%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2003 |
COL
1 - 0
OXF
46%
26%
29%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2003 |
OLD
2 - 5
BPO
55%
23%
22%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2003 |
OLD
0 - 1
NOT
63%
21%
16%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2003 |
CHE
1 - 1
OLD
31%
28%
41%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2003 |
OLD
0 - 1
SWI
59%
22%
18%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2003 |
OLD
3 - 0
CUM
80%
13%
7%
|
63 | 42 | 21 | +1 |