Colchester United vs Oldham Athletic AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.4%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
20.2%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 1999 |
WYC
2 - 2
COL
42%
27%
31%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1999 |
COL
1 - 1
REA
50%
25%
25%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1999 |
GIL
1 - 1
COL
62%
23%
16%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 1999 |
COL
2 - 1
WIG
39%
26%
35%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 1999 |
COL
2 - 1
YOR
51%
24%
25%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 1999 |
OLD
2 - 3
BOU
37%
27%
36%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1999 |
PNE
2 - 1
OLD
72%
18%
10%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1999 |
OLD
0 - 1
NOR
60%
24%
17%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 1999 |
MAC
1 - 0
OLD
38%
27%
35%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 1999 |
OLD
2 - 0
LIN
56%
23%
21%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | +1 |