Colchester United vs Hartlepool United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.7%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
21.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
SWI
1 - 1
COL
51%
24%
25%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
SOU
0 - 0
COL
48%
26%
27%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2009 |
GIL
1 - 1
COL
38%
25%
37%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
COL
1 - 2
LEE
34%
28%
38%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
MKD
2 - 1
COL
55%
24%
21%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Hartlepool United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
HAR
1 - 1
WYC
56%
23%
21%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2009 |
OLD
0 - 3
HAR
50%
25%
24%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +2 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
HAR
0 - 2
NOR
43%
25%
32%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2009 |
HAR
1 - 2
BUR
25%
24%
52%
|
58 | 79 | 21 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
GIL
0 - 1
HAR
52%
25%
23%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |