Cognac vs Saumur analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.6%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.4%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
45.3%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cognac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
NAN
2 - 0
COG
57%
22%
21%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2010 |
MON
5 - 3
COG
39%
25%
36%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | -2 |
| 22 May. 2010 |
COG
1 - 1
SAM
65%
19%
16%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2010 |
CUG
3 - 1
COG
29%
25%
46%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | -2 |
| 08 May. 2010 |
COG
2 - 3
BEZ
36%
24%
40%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Saumur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
SAU
4 - 1
BON
76%
16%
8%
|
45 | 18 | 27 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2010 |
SAU
0 - 1
POI
49%
25%
26%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2010 |
BLO
1 - 3
SAU
26%
25%
49%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2010 |
SAU
1 - 1
STP
33%
25%
42%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2010 |
SAU
0 - 1
LPS
43%
26%
31%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -1 |