Cognac vs Bonchamp analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.6%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.9%
3-0
11%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.4%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
13%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13%
7%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cognac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
CHO
2 - 1
COG
57%
22%
21%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
ASC
1 - 1
COG
30%
24%
46%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
COG
2 - 1
SAB
55%
22%
23%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
BOU
0 - 0
COG
57%
22%
21%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
COG
0 - 0
POI
36%
25%
39%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Bonchamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
BON
1 - 4
VIE
26%
23%
51%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
BON
2 - 2
CHO
14%
21%
65%
|
17 | 40 | 23 | +2 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
BON
1 - 0
ASC
18%
22%
60%
|
15 | 28 | 13 | +2 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
SAB
1 - 1
BON
81%
13%
6%
|
14 | 34 | 20 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
BON
1 - 2
BOU
14%
21%
65%
|
15 | 41 | 26 | -1 |