Cognac vs Bayonne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.2%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
42.9%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cognac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
FCL
1 - 1
COG
57%
20%
23%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
COG
0 - 5
STA
27%
22%
51%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
LEG
3 - 3
COG
62%
20%
18%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
COG
1 - 0
CHA
31%
21%
48%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2020 |
TAR
1 - 1
COG
39%
22%
39%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Bayonne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
LEG
1 - 0
BAY
48%
26%
27%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
SAI
0 - 1
BAY
16%
21%
63%
|
31 | 7 | 24 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
POI
2 - 0
BAY
42%
26%
33%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
BAY
4 - 0
CHA
62%
20%
18%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
CNF
1 - 0
BAY
44%
24%
32%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | -1 |