Cobresal vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.4%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
20.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cobresal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
CSL
2 - 1
HUA
43%
24%
33%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
COQ
1 - 2
CSL
27%
27%
46%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2007 |
CSL
1 - 0
UNI
62%
21%
17%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2007 |
COB
2 - 2
CSL
65%
20%
14%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2007 |
CSL
2 - 0
CDM
56%
23%
21%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
UCO
2 - 0
LOT
65%
20%
15%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
PAL
0 - 1
UCO
40%
26%
35%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2007 |
UCO
2 - 0
PUE
64%
21%
16%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2007 |
COL
2 - 2
UCO
71%
17%
12%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2007 |
UCO
1 - 1
EVE
54%
24%
22%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |