Cobreloa vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.1%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
19.7%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cobreloa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2004 |
COB
2 - 0
HUA
58%
22%
20%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2004 |
ACS
2 - 2
COB
36%
26%
38%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2004 |
COB
1 - 1
CSL
76%
16%
8%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
UCH
2 - 1
COB
48%
25%
26%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
COB
1 - 1
DLS
74%
16%
10%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2004 |
UCO
1 - 3
ACS
58%
23%
19%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
CSL
3 - 2
UCO
34%
26%
40%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2004 |
BOL
4 - 2
UCO
56%
22%
22%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2004 |
DLS
0 - 1
UCO
27%
26%
47%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2004 |
UCO
1 - 0
UNI
50%
24%
27%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | +1 |