Copa Chile 1/16
Global 3-2
Cobreloa vs U. Católica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.2%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11%
20%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
63.3%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
10%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.7%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cobreloa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2018 |
SWA
2 - 1
COB
58%
24%
19%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
COB
3 - 1
BAR
44%
25%
31%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
NUB
5 - 0
COB
40%
28%
32%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
COB
3 - 2
MAG
56%
24%
20%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2018 |
COB
3 - 0
OVA
80%
13%
7%
|
59 | 37 | 22 | -1 |
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2018 |
UCO
0 - 0
ANT
48%
25%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
UCO
0 - 0
UCO
35%
26%
39%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
UCO
1 - 1
UCH
50%
24%
26%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
UCO
3 - 1
HUA
54%
24%
23%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 1
UCO
29%
26%
45%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |