Cobreloa vs Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.4%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.2%
8.4%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cobreloa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
COL
2 - 0
COB
51%
24%
25%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2005 |
SLO
0 - 0
COB
59%
22%
19%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2005 |
COB
1 - 1
CSD
72%
18%
11%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
COB
1 - 1
UCH
51%
24%
25%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2005 |
CDM
0 - 1
COB
22%
25%
54%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
CON
1 - 1
PUE
39%
26%
35%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2005 |
CSL
0 - 1
CON
71%
17%
12%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
CON
0 - 0
CDM
44%
26%
30%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
CON
1 - 0
UCO
24%
25%
51%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2005 |
DLS
2 - 2
CON
60%
21%
19%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |