Cobreloa vs Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.4%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
10%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
10%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cobreloa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2002 |
ACS
1 - 2
COB
38%
27%
35%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2002 |
PAL
1 - 3
COB
59%
22%
19%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2002 |
UCO
3 - 3
COB
61%
22%
18%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2002 |
COB
4 - 0
COQ
65%
21%
15%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2002 |
UNI
3 - 2
COB
42%
27%
31%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2002 |
CON
1 - 1
PAL
21%
25%
54%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2002 |
UCO
2 - 1
CON
79%
14%
7%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2002 |
COQ
2 - 3
CON
52%
25%
24%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2002 |
CON
1 - 0
UNI
33%
25%
42%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2002 |
CSL
1 - 2
CON
38%
26%
37%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |