Apertura B Phase 1 Round 11

Cobreloa vs La Serena analysis

Cobreloa La Serena
55 ELO 53
2.4% Tilt -7.8%
1631º General ELO ranking 1124º
20º Country ELO ranking 14º
ELO win probability
58.9%
Cobreloa
22.2%
Draw
18.9%
La Serena

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.9%
Win probability
Cobreloa
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
18.9%
Win probability
La Serena
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Cobreloa
-11%
-9%
La Serena

ELO progression

Cobreloa
La Serena
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Cobreloa
Cobreloa
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Oct. 2016
SAN
Santiago Morning
2 - 1
Cobreloa
COB
47%
25%
28%
58 55 3 0
27 Oct. 2016
COL
Colo-Colo
3 - 1
Cobreloa
COB
78%
15%
7%
59 78 19 -1
21 Oct. 2016
COB
Cobreloa
1 - 2
Colo-Colo
COL
16%
21%
63%
59 78 19 0
16 Oct. 2016
COB
Cobreloa
0 - 0
Curicó Unido
CUR
50%
26%
24%
59 60 1 0
02 Oct. 2016
VAL
Deportes Valdivia
1 - 1
Cobreloa
COB
48%
26%
26%
60 60 0 -1

Matches

La Serena
La Serena
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Oct. 2016
DLS
La Serena
3 - 2
Deportes Valdivia
VAL
28%
25%
47%
51 59 8 0
02 Oct. 2016
NUB
Ñublense
0 - 0
La Serena
DLS
60%
22%
18%
51 57 6 0
29 Sep. 2016
DLS
La Serena
0 - 0
Cobreloa
COB
28%
25%
46%
50 60 10 +1
24 Sep. 2016
DLS
La Serena
0 - 2
Curicó Unido
CUR
35%
27%
38%
51 58 7 -1
16 Sep. 2016
COB
Cobreloa
3 - 0
La Serena
DLS
57%
22%
21%
52 57 5 -1