1a Apertura Finals . Final
Global 1-1
Coatepeque vs Zacapa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.6%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
22.7%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coatepeque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
AUR
0 - 0
COA
27%
23%
50%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
COA
2 - 0
AUR
50%
23%
26%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
SPD
0 - 0
COA
41%
22%
37%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2022 |
COA
1 - 1
SPD
45%
23%
32%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
COA
1 - 1
CON
50%
23%
27%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Zacapa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
JUP
0 - 0
ZAC
46%
25%
29%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2022 |
ZAC
1 - 0
JUP
40%
24%
36%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2022 |
ZAC
2 - 0
CAT
40%
24%
37%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2022 |
CAT
0 - 0
ZAC
47%
24%
28%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2022 |
ZAC
1 - 0
PUE
47%
26%
28%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | +1 |