Coatepeque vs Nueva Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.4%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
27.1%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coatepeque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
AUR
1 - 0
COA
44%
26%
30%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
COA
3 - 4
SPD
39%
26%
35%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
COA
0 - 1
ESC
40%
26%
35%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
IZT
1 - 2
COA
52%
24%
25%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +2 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
COB
2 - 1
COA
57%
23%
21%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
NUE
1 - 0
IZT
46%
26%
29%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
LAG
2 - 2
NUE
49%
24%
26%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
NUE
0 - 0
PUE
45%
25%
30%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
XIN
0 - 1
NUE
58%
24%
19%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | +2 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
AUR
3 - 2
NUE
46%
26%
28%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |