Atlético Peñaflor vs Defensores de Boca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.4%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.3%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
16.1%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Peñaflor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
ALB
1 - 2
CAP
30%
22%
49%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
CAP
5 - 1
SPC
74%
15%
11%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
CAP
1 - 0
ACJ
60%
20%
20%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | +2 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
ACJ
3 - 2
CAP
34%
23%
43%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | -2 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
PAN
1 - 4
CAP
12%
17%
70%
|
28 | 14 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Defensores de Boca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
SPC
0 - 1
DEF
33%
22%
45%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
DEF
2 - 1
ALB
43%
22%
35%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
SPC
3 - 2
DEF
36%
22%
42%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
CAP
4 - 1
DEF
65%
18%
17%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
DEF
2 - 1
PAN
75%
15%
10%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | 0 |