Universitario SFXCH vs Aurora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.9%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
22.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario SFXCH
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
STR
2 - 1
UNI
67%
19%
14%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
UNI
2 - 2
NAC
57%
24%
19%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
UNI
1 - 1
OPE
44%
26%
30%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2012 |
UNI
1 - 1
BLO
52%
26%
23%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
SAN
3 - 2
UNI
53%
25%
22%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
AUR
0 - 3
JWI
54%
24%
22%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
BOL
3 - 1
AUR
52%
24%
23%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2012 |
AUR
3 - 3
BOL
46%
26%
28%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
RPO
2 - 1
AUR
54%
23%
23%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2012 |
OPE
1 - 1
AUR
51%
25%
25%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |