Santa María de Oro vs Libertad Concordia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.4%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
59.5%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa María de Oro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
ACH
2 - 1
SMO
79%
14%
8%
|
19 | 37 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
SMO
0 - 0
PSM
26%
23%
51%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
COL
3 - 2
SMO
49%
23%
28%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
SMO
1 - 0
VIA
18%
20%
62%
|
17 | 30 | 13 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
SMO
0 - 2
BEL
15%
21%
64%
|
17 | 39 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Libertad Concordia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
LBC
1 - 0
URU
13%
21%
66%
|
30 | 57 | 27 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
BEL
3 - 0
LBC
63%
20%
17%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | -2 |
| 14 Oct. 2016 |
ACH
2 - 0
LBC
55%
22%
23%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
LBC
2 - 0
PSM
54%
23%
24%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
COL
0 - 3
LBC
23%
23%
54%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | +1 |