Mercedes vs Juventud Unida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.4%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
24.6%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
4º
9º
6º
21
3º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
40 | 40 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 38 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
33 | 33 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 33 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
25 | 25 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
21 | 21 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 19 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mercedes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2023 |
DPA
0 - 2
MER
39%
24%
37%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2023 |
MER
0 - 2
CES
35%
25%
41%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | -2 |
| 06 Nov. 2023 |
POR
0 - 0
MER
48%
23%
29%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
MER
0 - 0
CAM
31%
23%
46%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
MUÑ
2 - 0
MER
39%
24%
37%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Juventud Unida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2023 |
JUU
0 - 4
ARR
22%
27%
51%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
DPA
1 - 3
JUU
48%
26%
26%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
JUU
0 - 1
CES
32%
26%
42%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
POR
1 - 1
JUU
58%
23%
19%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
JUU
1 - 0
CAM
28%
24%
48%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | +2 |