Marino de Luanco vs Real Avilés Industrial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.6%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
11.5%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marino de Luanco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
COL
1 - 1
MAR
21%
24%
55%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
MAR
0 - 0
ATL
82%
13%
5%
|
39 | 19 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
MAR
0 - 0
TUI
61%
21%
18%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
LEN
1 - 5
MAR
15%
23%
61%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2017 |
MAR
1 - 1
PRA
77%
15%
8%
|
39 | 23 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Real Avilés Industrial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
AVI
0 - 2
TUI
31%
25%
44%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2018 |
PRA
1 - 0
AVI
32%
24%
44%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
LEN
4 - 0
AVI
20%
22%
58%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | -2 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
AVI
0 - 1
SIE
77%
15%
8%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
MOS
1 - 2
AVI
18%
21%
61%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |