Herminio Arrieta vs Camioneros Argentinos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.5%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
42.8%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+51%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Herminio Arrieta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
MON
4 - 2
HER
53%
22%
24%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
HER
0 - 2
MIT
24%
23%
54%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
AHZ
3 - 0
HER
79%
15%
6%
|
23 | 58 | 35 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
HER
2 - 2
RIO
33%
24%
44%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
TAB
2 - 0
HER
64%
20%
17%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Camioneros Argentinos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
CAM
0 - 1
AHZ
16%
23%
61%
|
28 | 59 | 31 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
RIO
2 - 1
CAM
49%
23%
28%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
CAM
2 - 3
TAB
42%
24%
34%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
CAM
1 - 0
TIR
75%
16%
10%
|
29 | 17 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
MON
1 - 2
CAM
41%
24%
35%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | +1 |