Club Franciscain vs Samaritaine analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
21.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+59%
+38%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
1º
5º
2º
10
2º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
22 | 23 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
19 | 20 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
14 | 15 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
10 | 11 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
7 | 8 |
5º
|
70.5% | |
|
6º
|
5 | 6 |
6º
|
70.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Caribbean Club Championship
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Club Franciscain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
CLU
3 - 0
USD
63%
19%
18%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
CLU
4 - 1
GOL
41%
21%
38%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | +2 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
AIG
2 - 1
CLU
50%
22%
29%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
CLU
0 - 4
CLU
61%
20%
19%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -2 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
CLU
1 - 0
SAM
60%
20%
20%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Samaritaine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
AIG
1 - 2
SAM
53%
23%
25%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
USD
1 - 4
SAM
53%
23%
24%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | +2 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
SAM
1 - 2
CLU
42%
26%
32%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
SAM
1 - 1
AVP
50%
23%
28%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
CLU
1 - 0
SAM
60%
20%
20%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |