Málaga 1903 vs Vélez C analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.5%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
17.3%
16.2%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Málaga 1903
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
TOT
0 - 2
CDM
33%
21%
46%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
CDM
1 - 2
DPA
55%
20%
25%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2023 |
CDA
0 - 0
CDM
22%
20%
59%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
CDM
2 - 0
MRF
74%
15%
11%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
CDM
3 - 0
ATL
60%
19%
21%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Vélez C
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
VEL
4 - 3
CDA
43%
21%
36%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
MRF
2 - 1
VEL
34%
21%
45%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2023 |
ATL
3 - 2
VEL
48%
21%
31%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
VEL
4 - 0
ALM
57%
19%
24%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
TDM
2 - 0
VEL
62%
19%
20%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | 0 |