Segunda Categoría - Ecuador . 1/16
Global 3-1
Aampetra vs Huancavilca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.5%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
13.4%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aampetra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
CDA
1 - 0
ESG
73%
17%
10%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
ESG
1 - 1
CDA
23%
23%
54%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
GUA
2 - 0
CDA
59%
23%
18%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
CDA
1 - 0
GUA
29%
26%
44%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
ATA
0 - 0
CDA
48%
24%
29%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Huancavilca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
HUA
0 - 1
CDS
66%
18%
17%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
CDS
0 - 2
HUA
39%
22%
39%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | +1 |