Deportes Rengo vs CD Melipilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.1%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
51.7%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+33%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
5º
10º
6º
24
1º
1º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
24 | 51 |
1º
|
58% | |
|
2º
|
23 | 45 |
2º
|
19.5% | |
|
3º
|
23 | 45 |
3º
|
17.5% | |
|
4º
|
21 | 43 |
4º
|
14% | |
|
5º
|
21 | 40 |
5º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
19 | 40 |
6º
|
10.5% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 38 |
7º
|
16% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 35 |
8º
|
14.5% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 31 |
9º
|
11.5% | |
|
11º
|
13 | 31 |
10º
|
12.5% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 29 |
11º
|
18.5% | |
|
13º
|
8 | 27 |
12º
|
17% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 27 |
13º
|
23% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 17 |
14º
|
69% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
3.5% | 58% |
|
Mid-table
|
95.5% | 42% |
|
Relegation
|
1% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportes Rengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
JOA
0 - 1
REN
46%
24%
30%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
REN
1 - 2
CDS
60%
21%
19%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
PUE
1 - 3
REN
55%
24%
21%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | +2 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
REN
2 - 3
LAU
41%
25%
34%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2024 |
SAU
1 - 2
REN
48%
24%
27%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
CD Melipilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
CON
1 - 3
CDM
25%
26%
49%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
CDM
0 - 1
PUE
55%
26%
20%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
JOA
1 - 1
CDM
23%
24%
53%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
CDM
2 - 1
FVC
58%
25%
17%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
GVE
0 - 5
CDM
29%
27%
44%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | +1 |