Cienciano vs Oriente Petrolero analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.9%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
36.7%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cienciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2002 |
CIE
2 - 1
GRE
21%
23%
56%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2002 |
12O
1 - 0
CIE
54%
23%
23%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2002 |
GRE
2 - 0
CIE
79%
14%
7%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2002 |
OPE
3 - 1
CIE
50%
23%
27%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2002 |
CIE
3 - 0
12O
56%
22%
22%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Oriente Petrolero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2002 |
OPE
1 - 0
12O
56%
22%
22%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2002 |
CIP
2 - 0
OPE
29%
24%
47%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2002 |
OPE
4 - 1
UNI
66%
19%
15%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2002 |
BLO
2 - 4
OPE
47%
24%
29%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2002 |
OPE
8 - 0
GUA
62%
20%
18%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | +1 |