Cienciano vs Juan Aurich Chiclayo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.7%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
33%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cienciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
MUN
1 - 0
CIE
45%
25%
30%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
CIE
1 - 0
SAM
39%
25%
37%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2015 |
SPC
1 - 0
CIE
71%
17%
12%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
CIE
3 - 0
MEL
36%
26%
38%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | +2 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
COM
3 - 0
CIE
56%
24%
20%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Juan Aurich Chiclayo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2015 |
MEL
2 - 1
AUR
52%
24%
24%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
AUR
2 - 3
SPC
38%
24%
38%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2015 |
TIG
3 - 0
AUR
68%
20%
11%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
MUN
1 - 1
AUR
38%
26%
37%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
AUR
0 - 1
SAM
54%
22%
24%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |