Apertura Peru Round 5

Cienciano vs Ayacucho FC analysis

Cienciano Ayacucho FC
71 ELO 68
20.7% Tilt 15.9%
786º General ELO ranking 3215º
Country ELO ranking 25º
ELO win probability
61.1%
Cienciano
20.8%
Draw
18.2%
Ayacucho FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.1%
Win probability
Cienciano
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
18.2%
Win probability
Ayacucho FC
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Cienciano
-3%
-4%
Ayacucho FC

ELO progression

Cienciano
Ayacucho FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Cienciano
Cienciano
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Feb. 2020
AUN
Alianza Universidad
1 - 0
Cienciano
CIE
29%
25%
47%
72 65 7 0
14 Feb. 2020
CIE
Cienciano
5 - 2
Deportivo Llacuabamba
LLA
66%
20%
13%
72 67 5 0
09 Feb. 2020
CIE
Cienciano
4 - 0
Univ. San Martín
SAM
59%
22%
19%
71 68 3 +1
02 Feb. 2020
CAN
Academia Cantolao
2 - 1
Cienciano
CIE
27%
25%
48%
72 66 6 -1
10 Nov. 2019
CIE
Cienciano
4 - 2
Santos FC
SFC
65%
21%
14%
71 63 8 +1

Matches

Ayacucho FC
Ayacucho FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Feb. 2020
AYA
Ayacucho FC
2 - 0
Alianza Lima
ALI
45%
25%
30%
66 69 3 0
15 Feb. 2020
CAN
Academia Cantolao
0 - 2
Ayacucho FC
AYA
42%
26%
32%
66 66 0 0
07 Feb. 2020
AYA
Ayacucho FC
2 - 1
Sport Boys Association
SBO
46%
25%
29%
65 67 2 +1
02 Feb. 2020
SAM
Univ. San Martín
3 - 1
Ayacucho FC
AYA
51%
24%
26%
66 68 2 -1
24 Nov. 2019
SAM
Univ. San Martín
0 - 0
Ayacucho FC
AYA
52%
24%
25%
66 67 1 0