Cienciano vs Carlos Stein analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.7%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.8%
7.6%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cienciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2022 |
CAN
3 - 1
CIE
21%
25%
54%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2022 |
CIE
0 - 2
ALI
45%
27%
28%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
UTC
2 - 1
CIE
32%
26%
42%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
CIE
0 - 1
HUA
53%
25%
23%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
CIE
2 - 2
MEL
36%
27%
37%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Carlos Stein
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
FCS
1 - 4
MUN
33%
25%
43%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
VAL
3 - 0
FCS
64%
22%
14%
|
50 | 67 | 17 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
FCS
1 - 1
SAM
53%
23%
24%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2022 |
AGP
0 - 0
FCS
67%
20%
13%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2022 |
CAN
3 - 2
FCS
51%
25%
25%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -1 |