Club Calzada vs Celta Fortuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
16.7%
15.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Club Calzada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 1953 |
CDO
2 - 2
CAL
75%
14%
11%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1953 |
CAL
3 - 2
RAC
80%
12%
8%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 1953 |
ACF
1 - 0
CAL
67%
17%
16%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 1953 |
CAL
1 - 1
PON
82%
11%
7%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1953 |
CAL
1 - 0
SMA
80%
12%
8%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Celta Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 1953 |
CEL
1 - 0
VAL
70%
16%
14%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1953 |
ARO
1 - 1
CEL
58%
20%
22%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1953 |
CEL
2 - 0
LEM
73%
15%
12%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1953 |
PON
3 - 0
CEL
78%
12%
9%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 1953 |
CEL
2 - 0
ZAM
67%
17%
17%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | +2 |