Aurora vs Oriente Petrolero analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
6%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
38.8%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2019 |
RPO
2 - 2
AUR
47%
25%
29%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
AUR
2 - 3
ROY
29%
27%
44%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
REA
2 - 0
AUR
62%
22%
16%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2019 |
AUR
3 - 3
BOL
17%
22%
61%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
BLO
1 - 0
AUR
57%
23%
20%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Oriente Petrolero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2019 |
OPE
4 - 1
REA
48%
27%
25%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
BOL
3 - 0
OPE
66%
20%
14%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
OPE
0 - 1
BLO
49%
25%
26%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
NAC
2 - 1
OPE
55%
24%
21%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2019 |
OPE
4 - 3
SAN
30%
26%
44%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |