Aurora vs Oriente Petrolero analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.3%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
36%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2014 |
AUR
4 - 0
GUA
46%
24%
30%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
BOL
3 - 0
AUR
65%
19%
15%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
AUR
3 - 0
SBW
39%
26%
34%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
RPO
3 - 3
AUR
66%
20%
15%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
AUR
3 - 2
BLO
48%
25%
26%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Oriente Petrolero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2014 |
RPO
3 - 0
OPE
53%
23%
24%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
OPE
1 - 0
SBW
51%
26%
23%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2014 |
BLO
2 - 3
OPE
37%
25%
38%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 0
OPE
56%
22%
22%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
OPE
2 - 0
STR
40%
26%
34%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |